Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 5:57·NYJ 0, NE 6

   (5:57) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short left intended for 89-J.Cotchery INTERCEPTED by 23-L.Bodden at NE 47. 23-L.Bodden for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 7:48·NYJ 0, NE 0

   (7:48) 39-L.Maroney right guard to NYJ 34 for 2 yards (93-M.Douglas). FUMBLES (93-M.Douglas), RECOVERED by NYJ-99-B.Thomas at NYJ 34. New England challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 07:24.)

   +14pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q1 · 8:20·NYJ 0, NE 0

   (8:20) 39-L.Maroney left tackle to NYJ 36 for 2 yards (57-B.Scott).

   +7pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 2:19·NYJ 0, NE 7

   (2:19) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 83-W.Welker to NYJ 31 for 15 yards (36-J.Leonhard).

   +6pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 14:51·NYJ 14, NE 24

   (14:51) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep left intended for 89-J.Cotchery INTERCEPTED by 23-L.Bodden at NE 26. 23-L.Bodden to NE 26 for no gain (17-B.Edwards). NE 23-Bodden 3 interceptions in one game ties Patriots record (A. Samuel 11/26/06 vs. Chicago).

   +6pp

   NWE