Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 10:18·IND 3, JAX 7

   (10:18) 11-B.Gabbert sacked at JAX 39 for -11 yards (98-R.Mathis). FUMBLES (98-R.Mathis) [98-R.Mathis], RECOVERED by IND-98-R.Mathis at JAX 36. 98-R.Mathis to JAX 36 for no gain (65-W.Rackley).

   +16pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q1 · 14:48·IND 0, JAX 0

   (14:48) 32-M.Jones-Drew right end to JAX 42 for 13 yards (51-P.Angerer).

   +11pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q2 · 8:50·IND 3, JAX 7

   (8:50) 34-D.Carter up the middle to JAX 28 for -1 yards (69-L.Douzable; 93-T.Alualu).

   +10pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q3 · 9:01·IND 6, JAX 10

   (9:01) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle pushed ob at IND 15 for 56 yards (21-K.Thomas). M.Jones-Drew breaks Jaguars single season rushing yards record.

   +10pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q1 · 8:09·IND 0, JAX 0

   (8:09) 32-M.Jones-Drew right end to IND 1 for no gain (51-P.Angerer; 90-J.Anderson).

   +9pp

   IND