Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:05·IND 28, JAX 31

   (:05) 10-J.Scobee 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.

   +26pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q3 · 8:43·IND 14, JAX 14

   (8:43) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle intended for 81-B.Eldridge INTERCEPTED by 20-A.Smith (42-G.Alexander) at JAX 4. 20-A.Smith to IND 49 for 47 yards (44-D.Clark; 73-J.Thomas).

   +21pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:24·IND 21, JAX 28

   (1:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 87-R.Wayne to JAX 7 for 42 yards (31-D.Jones) [55-K.Morrison]. JAX-96-T.Knighton was injured during the play. His return is Probable. JAX-31-D.Jones was injured during the play. His return is Probable.

   +17pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q4 · 13:59·IND 14, JAX 21

   (13:59) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-R.Wayne to JAX 10 for 13 yards (31-D.Jones). FUMBLES (31-D.Jones), RECOVERED by JAX-42-G.Alexander at JAX 10. 42-G.Alexander to IND 47 for 43 yards (15-B.White).

   +16pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q4 · 6:00·IND 21, JAX 21

   (6:00) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 19-T.Underwood to IND 38 for 13 yards (34-D.Morgan). PENALTY on IND-27-J.Lacey, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at IND 38.

   +14pp

   JAX