Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:06·JAX 12, IND 14

   (2:06) (Run formation) 31-D.Brown right end to JAX 35 for no gain (96-T.Knighton, 52-D.Smith). JAX-97-R.Hayward was injured during the play.

   +22pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:23·JAX 12, IND 14

   (1:23) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete short middle to 32-M.Jones-Drew (93-D.Freeney) [58-G.Brackett].

   +19pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q1 · 10:06·JAX 0, IND 0

   (10:06) 18-P.Manning pass short left intended for 87-R.Wayne INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Cox at JAX -2. Touchback.

   +16pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q2 · 14:00·JAX 0, IND 0

   (14:00) 29-J.Addai left tackle to JAX 27 for -1 yards (54-Q.Groves). FUMBLES (54-Q.Groves), RECOVERED by JAX-21-D.Cox at JAX 30. 21-D.Cox to JAX 35 for 5 yards (87-R.Wayne). Minus 4 rushing yards for Addai.

   +15pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q4 · 11:12·JAX 12, IND 14

   (11:12) (Shotgun) 32-M.Jones-Drew left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   JAX