Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 5:33·IND 34, JAX 31

   (5:33) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 87-R.Wayne for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +39pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:05·IND 35, JAX 31

   (1:05) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep right intended for 80-M.Thomas INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Lacey at IND 11. 27-J.Lacey to IND 19 for 8 yards (32-M.Jones-Drew).

   +29pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q2 · 8:25·IND 13, JAX 10

   10-J.Scobee kicks 63 yards from JAX 30 to IND 7. 35-C.Simpson for 93 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +22pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q3 · 8:37·IND 21, JAX 23

   (8:37) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left to 11-M.Sims-Walker for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q3 · 0:53·IND 28, JAX 30

   (:53) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle to 80-M.Thomas for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN [33-M.Bullitt]. Penalty on IND-26-K.Hayden, Illegal Contact, declined.

   +15pp

   JAX