Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 4:06·JAX 9, IND 14

   (4:06) 1-P.McAfee punts 41 yards to JAX 22, Center-48-J.Snow. 80-M.Thomas for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN. IND-23-A.Afalava was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. IND-38-M.Newton was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.

   +17pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q3 · 0:12·JAX 17, IND 24

   (:12) (Run formation) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle intended for 83-J.Hill INTERCEPTED by 41-A.Bethea at IND 13. 41-A.Bethea to IND 44 for 31 yards (86-Z.Miller).

   +13pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q1 · 12:18·JAX 0, IND 0

   (12:18) (Shotgun) 31-D.Brown up the middle to JAX 7 for 49 yards (37-S.Considine). JAX-22-D.Carey was injured during the play.

   +12pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q1 · 5:01·JAX 0, IND 7

   (5:01) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle to 83-J.Hill to IND 26 for 14 yards (20-J.Tryon, 43-A.Francisco).

   +11pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q3 · 12:28·JAX 10, IND 20

   (12:28) (Run formation) 31-D.Brown left end for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   IND