Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 8:47·NE 0, NYJ 0

   (8:47) 29-L.Washington up the middle to NYJ 17 for 2 yards (75-V.Wilfork, 50-R.Ninkovich). FUMBLES (75-V.Wilfork), RECOVERED by NE-23-L.Bodden at NYJ 17. 23-L.Bodden to NYJ 17 for no gain (74-N.Mangold). New York Jets challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 08:36.)

   +14pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q3 · 14:03·NE 9, NYJ 9

   (14:03) 6-M.Sanchez pass short right to 81-D.Keller for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q2 · 13:42·NE 3, NYJ 0

   (13:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 11-J.Edelman to NYJ 12 for 29 yards (36-J.Leonhard).

   +8pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q3 · 14:50·NE 9, NYJ 3

   (14:50) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep right to 89-J.Cotchery to NE 11 for 45 yards (59-G.Guyton).

   +8pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q3 · 11:46·NE 9, NYJ 10

   (11:46) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short left to 81-D.Keller to NE 45 for 9 yards (30-B.McGowan).

   +7pp

   NYJ