Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 5:23·JAX 9, IND 7

   (5:23) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right intended for 88-M.Harrison INTERCEPTED by 27-R.Mathis at JAX 39. 27-R.Mathis for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +28pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:08·JAX 23, IND 21

   (:08) 10-J.Scobee 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.

   +22pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q3 · 6:28·JAX 10, IND 14

   (6:28) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short right intended for 11-R.Williams INTERCEPTED by 26-K.Hayden at IND 25. 26-K.Hayden to JAX 47 for 28 yards (11-R.Williams).

   +16pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:04·JAX 23, IND 21

   10-J.Scobee kicks 63 yards from JAX 30 to IND 7. 88-M.Harrison to IND 10 for 3 yards (81-M.Walker). Kick received by Forsett (30), handed to Harrison (88), lateralled to Hayden (26)

   +16pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:00·JAX 20, IND 14

   (2:00) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 88-M.Harrison ran ob at JAX 42 for 27 yards.

   +14pp

   IND