Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 3:54·NE 3, PIT 6

   (3:54) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass to 80-P.Burress for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q1 · 3:41·NE 3, PIT 7

   (3:41) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 23 for -6 yards (55-J.Porter). FUMBLES (55-J.Porter), RECOVERED by PIT-67-K.Von Oelhoffen at NE 27. 67-K.Von Oelhoffen to NE 27 for no gain (67-D.Koppen).

   +11pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q1 · 12:58·NE 0, PIT 0

   (12:58) 12-T.Brady pass to 86-D.Patten to PIT 39 for 11 yards (43-T.Polamalu, 26-D.Townsend). PENALTY on PIT-43-T.Polamalu, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at PIT 39.

   +7pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 0:22·NE 3, PIT 20

   (:22) 12-T.Brady pass intended for 81-B.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 26-D.Townsend at NE 39. 26-D.Townsend for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q1 · 6:31·NE 3, PIT 0

   (6:31) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass to 34-V.Haynes to PIT 38 for 14 yards (37-R.Harrison).

   +6pp

   PIT