Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:31·NE 20, PIT 13

   (1:31) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass incomplete to 11-Q.Morgan (30-C.Scott). PENALTY on NE-30-C.Scott, Defensive Pass Interference, 23 yards, enforced at NE 27 - No Play.

   +21pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q2 · 12:18·NE 7, PIT 10

   (12:18) 12-T.Brady pass to 33-K.Faulk to PIT 8 for 6 yards (53-C.Haggans). FUMBLES (53-C.Haggans), RECOVERED by PIT-50-L.Foote at PIT 8. 50-L.Foote to PIT 35 for 27 yards (83-D.Branch).

   +20pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q1 · 9:43·NE 7, PIT 6

   (9:43) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass to 86-H.Ward for 85 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +19pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:41·NE 7, PIT 10

   (:41) 12-T.Brady pass INTERCEPTED by 28-C.Hope (67-K.Von Oelhoffen) at PIT 4. 28-C.Hope to PIT 9 for 5 yards (67-D.Koppen).

   +18pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:05·NE 23, PIT 20

   (:05) 4-A.Vinatieri 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller.

   +18pp

   NWE