Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:04·JAX 12, BUF 10

   (:04) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 19-E.Wilford for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in rear of end zone, right side. Review ruled receiver forced out of bounds after catch. Play Challenged by Review Assistant and Upheld.

   +56pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:18·JAX 6, BUF 10

   (1:18) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to BUF 21 for 45 yards (22-N.Clements). Caught at BUF 22, left side.

   +38pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 12:17·JAX 6, BUF 7

   (12:17) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 82-J.Smith INTERCEPTED by 43-I.Reese at JAX 36. 43-I.Reese to JAX 3 for 33 yards (82-J.Smith). Coverage on right side. Penalty on JAX-74-Ma.Williams, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.

   +21pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q4 · 14:21·JAX 6, BUF 7

   (14:21) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to JAX 7 for 6 yards (51-A.Ayodele). FUMBLES (51-A.Ayodele), RECOVERED by JAX-20-D.Darius at JAX 12. Caught over middle at JAX 7.

   +19pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q3 · 6:24·JAX 3, BUF 7

   (6:24) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 19-E.Wilford (59-L.Fletcher). Receiver and coverage at BUF 11, right sideline. PENALTY on BUF-59-L.Fletcher, Defensive Pass Interference, 38 yards, enforced at BUF 49 - No Play.

   +17pp

   JAX