Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 10:51·SF 10, NO 14

   (10:51) 11-A.Smith pass deep right intended for 81-A.Bryant INTERCEPTED by 34-M.McKenzie at NO 40. 34-M.McKenzie to SF 1 for 59 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by SF-85-V.Davis at SF 1. 85-V.Davis to SF 1 for no gain (55-S.Fujita). Play Challenged by NO and REVERSED. 11-A.Smith pass deep right intended for 81-A.Bryant INTERCEPTED by 34-M.McKenzie at NO 40. 34-M.McKenzie to SF 6 for 54 yards (11-A.Smith).

   +18pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q3 · 11:00·SF 9, NO 14

   (11:00) 11-A.Smith pass deep left to 81-A.Bryant for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   SFO
3. 3
   Q1 · 4:27·SF 0, NO 0

   (4:27) (Shotgun) 84-B.Gilmore left end pushed ob at NO 42 for 12 yards (21-J.Craft, 29-J.Bullocks). Direct snap to #21 Frank Gore, rushes right, hands off to Gilmore rushing left, reverse.

   +7pp

   SFO
4. 4
   Q2 · 13:12·SF 3, NO 0

   (13:12) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short right to 25-R.Bush to SF 1 for 14 yards (31-S.Davis, 27-W.Harris).

   +7pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q1 · 3:43·SF 0, NO 0

   (3:43) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 83-A.Battle ran ob at NO 29 for 13 yards (23-O.Stoutmire).

   +7pp

   SFO