Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 1:47·IND 0, JAX 0

   (1:47) 29-J.Addai up the middle to JAX 12 for 23 yards (26-S.Knight).

   +12pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q1 · 5:39·IND 0, JAX 0

   (5:39) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete short right to 87-G.Wrighster (26-K.Hayden).

   +9pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q1 · 3:55·IND 0, JAX 0

   (3:55) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 29-J.Addai to JAX 44 for 15 yards (91-K.Pettway).

   +9pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q2 · 6:20·IND 7, JAX 0

   (6:20) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 87-R.Wayne ran ob at JAX 10 for 31 yards [99-M.Stroud].

   +7pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q2 · 2:54·IND 14, JAX 0

   (2:54) 32-M.Jones-Drew left end to JAX 48 for -1 yards (21-B.Sanders, 95-D.Reid).

   +5pp

   IND