Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 11:00·IND 3, JAX 7

   (11:00) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 87-R.Wayne to JAX 15 for 31 yards (37-D.Grant).

   +13pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q2 · 2:57·IND 10, JAX 14

   (2:57) 18-P.Manning pass intended for 87-R.Wayne INTERCEPTED by 43-G.Sensabaugh at JAX 14. 43-G.Sensabaugh ran ob at JAX 12 for -2 yards. PENALTY on IND-87-R.Wayne, Personal Foul, 15 yards, enforced at JAX 12.

   +12pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q1 · 13:19·IND 0, JAX 0

   (13:19) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to IND 18 for 76 yards (42-J.David).

   +12pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q1 · 15:00·IND 0, JAX 0

   (15:00) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 88-M.Harrison to JAX 38 for 42 yards (43-G.Sensabaugh).

   +11pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q2 · 3:34·IND 10, JAX 14

   (3:34) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 29-J.Addai pushed ob at JAX 39 for 14 yards (52-D.Smith).

   +8pp

   IND