Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:00·TEN 12, HOU 13

   (2:00) 5-K.Collins pass incomplete deep left to 19-J.McCareins.

   +30pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q1 · 11:50·TEN 0, HOU 0

   (11:50) 8-M.Schaub sacked at HOU 25 for -9 yards (90-J.Kearse). FUMBLES (90-J.Kearse), RECOVERED by TEN-92-A.Haynesworth at HOU 32. 92-A.Haynesworth to HOU 32 for no gain (44-V.Leach).

   +17pp

   TEN
3. 3
   Q3 · 0:43·TEN 9, HOU 10

   (:43) 3-K.Brown 26 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-82-C.Harris, Holder-1-M.Turk.

   +14pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q2 · 13:53·TEN 3, HOU 3

   (13:53) 8-M.Schaub pass deep middle to 80-A.Johnson to TEN 24 for 65 yards (33-M.Griffin).

   +12pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q1 · 5:12·TEN 3, HOU 0

   (5:12) (Shotgun) 8-M.Schaub pass incomplete deep left to 83-K.Walter (24-C.Hope). PENALTY on TEN-95-W.Hayes, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at HOU 49 - No Play.

   +12pp

   HOU