Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 10:50·HOU 17, TEN 21

   (10:50) (Punt formation) 15-C.Hentrich punts 39 yards to HOU 32, Center-40-J.Cain. 12-J.Jones MUFFS catch, touched at HOU 29, RECOVERED by TEN-23-D.Nickey at HOU 29.

   +15pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q3 · 11:23·HOU 10, TEN 13

   (11:23) 10-V.Young pass deep left to 86-R.Williams for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   TEN
3. 3
   Q4 · 12:20·HOU 16, TEN 21

   (12:20) 18-S.Rosenfels pass deep right to 80-A.Johnson for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:07·HOU 10, TEN 7

   (:07) (Field Goal formation) 2-R.Bironas 53 yard field goal is No Good, Center-68-K.Mawae, Holder-15-C.Hentrich. 12-J.Jones at HOU -7 to HOU 5 for 12 yards. Lateral to 32-F.Bennett to HOU 14 for 9 yards (88-B.Hartsock).

   +9pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q3 · 13:32·HOU 10, TEN 7

   (13:32) (Shotgun) 10-V.Young sacked at TEN 28 for -5 yards (sack split by 34-V.Hutchins and 90-M.Williams).

   +9pp

   HOU