Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:39·TEN 35, HOU 36

   (:39) (Shotgun) 5-K.Collins pass deep left to 86-R.Williams pushed ob at HOU 17 for 46 yards (34-V.Hutchins).

   +40pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:06·TEN 35, HOU 35

   (1:06) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass deep middle to 11-A.Davis for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +38pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q1 · 9:51·TEN 3, HOU 6

   (9:51) 5-K.Collins sacked at TEN 33 for -6 yards (59-D.Ryans). FUMBLES (59-D.Ryans) [59-D.Ryans], RECOVERED by HOU-59-D.Ryans at TEN 26. 59-D.Ryans for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +25pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:02·TEN 38, HOU 36

   (:02) 2-R.Bironas 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-K.Amato, Holder-15-C.Hentrich.

   +24pp

   TEN
5. 5
   Q4 · 1:37·TEN 35, HOU 29

   3-K.Brown kicks onside 9 yards from HOU 25 to HOU 34. RECOVERED by HOU-54-Z.Diles. (Kick was touched by TEN #88 B.Hartsock.)

   +18pp

   HOU