Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 7:22·NE 3, MIA 0

   (7:22) (Shotgun) 16-M.Cassel pass deep right intended for 81-R.Moss INTERCEPTED by 24-R.Hill (32-J.Allen) at MIA 41. 24-R.Hill ran ob at NE 42 for 17 yards. Penalty on MIA-37-Y.Bell, Personal Foul, offsetting, enforced at NE 42. Penalty on NE-61-S.Neal, Personal Foul, offsetting.

   +14pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q3 · 0:52·NE 24, MIA 21

   (:52) (Shotgun) 16-M.Cassel pass short left to 83-W.Welker pushed ob at MIA 21 for 64 yards (33-N.Jones) [55-J.Porter].

   +14pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q4 · 13:52·NE 31, MIA 21

   (13:52) (Shotgun) 10-C.Pennington pass short right to 15-D.Bess to NE 13 for 36 yards (29-L.Sanders).

   +14pp

   MIA
4. 4
   Q2 · 12:23·NE 10, MIA 7

   (12:23) 34-S.Morris left tackle to MIA 27 for 1 yard (98-M.Roth, 52-C.Crowder). FUMBLES (98-M.Roth), RECOVERED by MIA-21-A.Goodman at MIA 28. 21-A.Goodman to MIA 28 for no gain (81-R.Moss).

   +13pp

   MIA
5. 5
   Q3 · 7:35·NE 17, MIA 21

   (7:35) (Shotgun) 16-M.Cassel pass short middle to 81-R.Moss to MIA 24 for 15 yards (32-J.Allen) [37-Y.Bell]. Penalty on MIA-32-J.Allen, Defensive Holding, declined.

   +12pp

   NWE