Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 2:44·NE 0, MIA 0

   (2:44) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 82-D.Graham to NE 38 for 5 yards (52-C.Crowder). FUMBLES (52-C.Crowder), RECOVERED by MIA-25-W.Allen at NE 39. 25-W.Allen to NE 39 for no gain (84-B.Watson).

   +11pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q3 · 2:59·NE 0, MIA 12

   (2:59) 3-J.Harrington pass deep right to 86-M.Booker for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   MIA
3. 3
   Q2 · 2:01·NE 0, MIA 3

   (2:01) 15-K.Walter punts 19 yards to MIA 23, Center-66-L.Paxton, fair catch by 83-W.Welker.

   +7pp

   MIA
4. 4
   Q2 · 3:26·NE 0, MIA 3

   (3:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 80-T.Brown pushed ob at MIA 45 for 21 yards (24-R.Hill) [99-J.Taylor].

   +7pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q1 · 9:17·NE 0, MIA 0

   (9:17) 3-J.Harrington pass short middle to 31-S.Morris ran ob at NE 45 for 28 yards (25-A.Hawkins).

   +6pp

   MIA