Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 2:43·MIA 10, NE 13

   (2:43) 5-D.Jones punts 40 yards to NE 20, Center-97-J.Denney. 33-K.Faulk to NE 38 for 18 yards (37-Y.Bell). FUMBLES (37-Y.Bell), RECOVERED by MIA-96-D.Bowens at NE 37.

   +18pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q1 · 13:59·MIA 0, NE 0

   (13:59) 23-R.Brown right end to MIA 37 for no gain (37-R.Harrison). FUMBLES (37-R.Harrison), RECOVERED by NE-54-T.Bruschi at MIA 37. 54-T.Bruschi to MIA 37 for no gain (23-R.Brown). Play Challenged by MIA and Upheld. (Timeout #1 by MIA at 13:51.)

   +14pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q4 · 10:54·MIA 10, NE 13

   (10:54) (Shotgun) 3-J.Harrington pass short left intended for 83-W.Welker INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Samuel at MIA 26. 22-A.Samuel to MIA 24 for 2 yards (72-V.Carey).

   +12pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 3:30·MIA 0, NE 3

   (3:30) 10-O.Mare 40 yard field goal is BLOCKED (99-M.Wright), Center-97-J.Denney, Holder-5-D.Jones, declared dead at NE 31.

   +12pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q3 · 11:26·MIA 10, NE 13

   (11:26) (Punt formation) 5-D.Jones FUMBLES (Aborted) at NE 36, and recovers at NE 46. 5-D.Jones to NE 46 for no gain (99-M.Wright).

   +11pp

   NWE