Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 6:20·BUF 16, NE 14

   (6:20) 10-K.Holcomb sacked at BUF 23 for -9 yards (59-R.Colvin). FUMBLES (59-R.Colvin), RECOVERED by NE-59-R.Colvin at BUF 23. 59-R.Colvin to BUF 23 for no gain (66-B.Anderson).

   +34pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q3 · 11:19·BUF 9, NE 7

   (11:19) 10-K.Holcomb pass to 80-E.Moulds for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q3 · 6:31·BUF 10, NE 7

   (6:31) 10-K.Holcomb pass intended for 80-E.Moulds INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Samuel at BUF 45. 22-A.Samuel to BUF 45 for no gain (80-E.Moulds).

   +15pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q4 · 12:55·BUF 13, NE 7

   (12:55) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 29 for -5 yards (94-A.Schobel). FUMBLES (94-A.Schobel), RECOVERED by BUF-93-L.Sape at NE 29.

   +15pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:03·BUF 16, NE 21

   (2:03) (Shotgun) 10-K.Holcomb pass to 80-E.Moulds to NE 40 for no gain (32-H.Poteat, 50-M.Vrabel).

   +13pp

   NWE