Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 13:46·BUF 0, NE 3

   (13:46) 12-T.Brady pass to 81-B.Johnson to BUF 26 for 47 yards (43-I.Reese). Penalty on BUF-22-N.Clements, Illegal Contact, declined.

   +10pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 0:17·BUF 0, NE 3

   (:17) 11-D.Bledsoe pass intended for 80-E.Moulds INTERCEPTED by 26-E.Wilson at NE 3. 26-E.Wilson to NE 3 for no gain (80-E.Moulds).

   +9pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 2:51·BUF 0, NE 3

   (2:51) (Shotgun) PENALTY on NE-42-D.Reid, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at BUF 38 - No Play.

   +7pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 4:02·BUF 0, NE 12

   (4:02) 12-T.Brady pass to 86-D.Patten for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q1 · 8:08·BUF 0, NE 0

   (8:08) 33-K.Faulk right guard to BUF 35 for 15 yards (96-J.Posey).

   +6pp

   NWE