Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 2:02·IND 0, NE 16

   (2:02) 18-P.Manning pass intended for 86-J.Pathon INTERCEPTED by 45-O.Smith at NE 22. 45-O.Smith for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 4:52·IND 0, NE 0

   (4:52) 32-A.Smith left tackle to IND 8 for 39 yards (27-D.Macklin). PENALTY on IND-28-I.Bashir, 4 yards, enforced at IND 8.

   +10pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 14:54·IND 0, NE 7

   (14:54) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 84-T.Small to NE 37 for 9 yards (41-C.Bird, 52-M.Peterson).

   +6pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q2 · 2:58·IND 0, NE 10

   (2:58) 32-E.James left end to NE 29 for -1 yards (45-O.Smith). PENALTY on IND-86-J.Pathon, Illegal Crackback, 15 yards, enforced at NE 29.

   +6pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 3:21·IND 0, NE 10

   (3:21) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison ran ob at NE 28 for 26 yards.

   +5pp

   IND