Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:59·NE 30, BUF 17

   (2:59) 11-D.Bledsoe sacked at NE 27 for -10 yards (54-T.Bruschi). FUMBLES (54-T.Bruschi), RECOVERED by NE-93-R.Seymour at NE 32. 93-R.Seymour for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +19pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 1:40·NE 10, BUF 9

   4-A.Vinatieri kicks 68 yards from NE 30 to BUF 2. 24-T.McGee for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Key block: J.Dorenbos.

   +19pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q2 · 5:47·NE 10, BUF 10

   (5:47) 28-C.Dillon right guard to BUF 3 for -1 yards (90-C.Kelsay). FUMBLES (90-C.Kelsay), RECOVERED by BUF-90-C.Kelsay at BUF 4.

   +18pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q4 · 11:24·NE 23, BUF 17

   (11:24) 12-T.Brady pass to 82-D.Graham for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught over middle in back of end zone.

   +15pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 7:19·NE 10, BUF 10

   (7:19) 11-D.Bledsoe pass intended for 80-E.Moulds INTERCEPTED by 38-T.Poole at NE 30. 38-T.Poole to BUF 49 for 21 yards (75-J.Jennings). Coverage on left side.

   +14pp

   NWE