Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers, Week 4 2026

Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 9:52·DEN 3, SF 3

   (9:52) 15-C.Waitman punts 61 yards to DEN 28, Center-46-J.Weeks. 19-M.Mims to DEN 29 for 1 yard (33-S.Neal). FUMBLES (33-S.Neal), RECOVERED by SF-33-S.Neal at DEN 28. 33-S.Neal to DEN 28 for no gain (19-M.Mims).

   +21pp

   SFO
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:25·DEN 14, SF 23

   (2:25) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass short left to 85-G.Kittle for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   SFO
3. 3
   Q1 · 4:23·DEN 0, SF 0

   (4:23) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short left to 19-M.Mims to SF 33 for 10 yards (36-M.Sigle; 92-O.Odighizuwa).

   +10pp

   DEN
4. 4