Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts, Week 3 2026

Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:21·HOU 17, IND 19

   (:21) 3-S.Shrader 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.

   +36pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:01·HOU 17, IND 19

   (:01) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right.

   +26pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q1 · 11:28·HOU 0, IND 0

   (11:28) 17-D.Jones sacked at IND 39 for -8 yards (51-W.Anderson). FUMBLES (51-W.Anderson), touched at IND 44, RECOVERED by HOU-51-W.Anderson at IND 42. 51-W.Anderson to IND 40 for 2 yards (81-M.Alie-Cox). FUMBLES (81-M.Alie-Cox), recovered by HOU-3-K.Lassiter at IND 40.

   +16pp

   HOU
4. 4