Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 11:50·HOU 0, JAX 0

   (11:50) (Shotgun) 4-D.Ragone pass to 25-T.Hollings to JAX 34 for 6 yards (98-J.Henderson). FUMBLES (98-J.Henderson), RECOVERED by JAX-35-D.Cooper at JAX 34. 35-D.Cooper to JAX 44 for 10 yards. Lateral to 25-F.Bryant to HOU 40 for 16 yards (85-C.Bradford). PENALTY on JAX-35-D.Cooper, Illegal Forward Pass, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 44.

   +10pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q1 · 5:29·HOU 0, JAX 6

   (5:29) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q1 · 7:16·HOU 0, JAX 0

   (7:16) 28-F.Taylor left tackle pushed ob at HOU 38 for 18 yards (38-D.Faggins).

   +7pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q1 · 14:13·HOU 0, JAX 0

   (14:13) 4-D.Ragone pass to 80-A.Johnson to JAX 38 for 11 yards (35-D.Cooper).

   +6pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q1 · 13:35·HOU 0, JAX 0

   (13:35) 25-T.Hollings up the middle to JAX 35 for 3 yards (99-M.Stroud). PENALTY on HOU-86-J.Gaffney, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at JAX 38 - No Play.

   +6pp

   JAX