Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:42·JAX 24, HOU 21

   (1:42) 2-C.Hanson punts 44 yards to HOU 17, Center-88-J.Zelenka. 86-J.Gaffney to HOU 18 for 1 yard (26-A.Battles).

   +16pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q1 · 3:42·JAX 0, HOU 0

   (3:42) 8-D.Carr pass intended for 86-J.Gaffney INTERCEPTED by 32-M.McCree (41-K.Thomas) at HOU 37. 32-M.McCree to HOU 2 for 35 yards (8-D.Carr).

   +16pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q3 · 13:43·JAX 17, HOU 7

   (13:43) 2-C.Hanson punts 51 yards to HOU 27, Center-88-J.Zelenka. 84-J.Lewis MUFFS catch, touched at HOU 27, RECOVERED by JAX-86-M.Ross at HOU 27. 86-M.Ross to HOU 27 for no gain (84-J.Lewis).

   +12pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:32·JAX 24, HOU 21

   (1:32) 8-D.Carr pass to 20-J.Allen to HOU 16 for -2 yards (55-D.Clark).

   +12pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:12·JAX 24, HOU 20

   (2:12) 8-D.Carr scrambles right end for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   HOU