Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 4:35·JAX 20, HOU 17

   (4:35) 34-S.Mack pass intended for 80-A.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 29-J.Craft at JAX 5. 29-J.Craft to JAX 13 for 8 yards (89-J.Holloway).

   +31pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:02·JAX 20, HOU 23

   (:02) 8-D.Carr up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Play Challenged by Review Assistant and Upheld.

   +31pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q4 · 2:51·JAX 20, HOU 17

   (2:51) 7-B.Leftwich right end to JAX 37 for 9 yards (24-E.Brown). FUMBLES (24-E.Brown), RECOVERED by HOU-26-M.Stevens at JAX 41. 26-M.Stevens to JAX 41 for no gain (74-M.Williams).

   +23pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q3 · 11:04·JAX 16, HOU 17

   (11:04) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 18-T.Edwards for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (59 yards after catch.)

   +22pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q4 · 1:30·JAX 20, HOU 17

   (1:30) 8-D.Carr pass to 37-D.Davis to JAX 15 for 14 yards (20-D.Darius, 33-J.Trapp).

   +12pp

   HOU