Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers, Week 5 2026

Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 13:19·CHI 7, GB 20

   (13:19) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep middle to 9-C.Watson for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   GNB
2. 2
   Q1 · 5:57·CHI 0, GB 6

   (5:57) 10-J.Love pass deep left to 9-C.Watson for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   GNB
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:39·CHI 0, GB 7

   (5:39) (Shotgun) 17-T.Bagent pass deep right intended for 10-L.Burden INTERCEPTED by 29-X.McKinney (7-J.Bullard) at CHI 45. 29-X.McKinney to CHI 45 for no gain (10-L.Burden).

   +7pp

   GNB
4. 4