Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals, Week 5 2026

Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 9:38·DET 13, ARI 7

   (9:38) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   DET
2. 2
   Q2 · 13:37·DET 0, ARI 7

   (13:37) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 87-S.LaPorta to ARI 35 for 12 yards (29-D.Burke). PENALTY on ARI-1-Ma.Wilson, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at ARI 35.

   +10pp

   DET
3. 3
   Q1 · 10:18·DET 0, ARI 0

   (10:18) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short middle to 17-K.Bourne to DET 30 for 22 yards (21-R.McCreary).

   +9pp

   ARI
4. 4