Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 9:08·DEN 0, SF 3

   (9:08) 8-K.Orton pass deep right to 84-B.Lloyd to SF 1 for 71 yards (23-T.Mays).

   +21pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q4 · 7:29·DEN 10, SF 16

   (7:29) 1-T.Smith pass deep left to 15-M.Crabtree for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   SFO
3. 3
   Q4 · 13:30·DEN 10, SF 3

   (13:30) 1-T.Smith pass deep right to 46-Del.Walker to DEN 1 for 38 yards (24-C.Bailey) [91-R.Fields]. Smith scrambles right for the long completion

   +15pp

   SFO
4. 4
   Q4 · 11:57·DEN 10, SF 9

   (11:57) 1-T.Smith right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   SFO
5. 5
   Q4 · 15:00·DEN 7, SF 3

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 8-K.Orton pass short left to 88-D.Thomas to SF 14 for 31 yards (94-J.Smith).

   +11pp

   DEN