Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars, Week 1 2026

Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 12:17·CLE 0, JAX 0

   (12:17) 4-D.Watson pass short left intended for 3-J.Jeudy INTERCEPTED by 23-F.Oluokun [52-D.Hamilton] at JAX 19. 23-F.Oluokun to JAX 41 for 22 yards (74-E.Jenkins).

   +17pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q1 · 8:18·CLE 0, JAX 6

   (8:18) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep right to 11-P.Washington for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN [96-M.Collins].

   +9pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q1 · 13:37·CLE 0, JAX 0

   (13:37) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 1-K.Concepcion to JAX 33 for 9 yards (6-A.Johnson).

   +7pp

   CLE
4. 4