Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 8:28·JAX 10, CLE 7

   (8:28) (Shotgun) 7-D.Kizer pass short left intended for 19-C.Coleman INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Bouye at JAX 48. 21-A.Bouye to JAX 48 for no gain (19-C.Coleman). The Replay Official reviewed the pass interception ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +24pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q1 · 8:49·JAX 0, CLE 0

   (8:49) 7-D.Kizer pass short middle intended for 19-C.Coleman INTERCEPTED by 50-T.Smith at JAX 41. 50-T.Smith to CLE 33 for 26 yards (81-R.Higgins).

   +18pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:48·JAX 13, CLE 7

   (1:48) (Shotgun) 7-D.Kizer sacked at JAX 45 for -5 yards (sack split by 93-C.Campbell and 91-Y.Ngakoue). The Replay Official reviewed the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 7-D.Kizer sacked at JAX 45 for -5 yards (sack split by 93-C.Campbell and 91-Y.Ngakoue). FUMBLES (93-C.Campbell), RECOVERED by JAX-56-D.Fowler at JAX 44.

   +17pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q3 · 10:37·JAX 10, CLE 7

   (10:37) 3-B.Nortman punts 34 yards to CLE 41, Center-49-C.Holba. 22-J.Peppers MUFFS catch, touched at CLE 41, RECOVERED by JAX-26-J.Wilson at CLE 31.

   +17pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q4 · 1:24·JAX 19, CLE 7

   (1:24) (Shotgun) 7-D.Kizer sacked at CLE 9 for -11 yards (91-Y.Ngakoue). FUMBLES (91-Y.Ngakoue), RECOVERED by JAX-50-T.Smith at CLE -2. TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   JAX