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Field Judgealso: Alternate 60

Jeff Shears

51 games3 seasons (20232025)Recent: Week 18, 2025

Scoring

How high or low his games run

Slight Over lean: games trend a bit higher-scoring than the market expects.

% Games Over the Total

52%

+3.4pp

league 49% · 48 priced games

Avg Total Points

45.2

-0.4

league 45.6 · both teams combined

Spread Outcomes

Who covers the line in his games

Mild lean visible in spread outcomes: interesting context, not a green-light edge.

Favorites Cover %

54%

+5.4pp

league 49% · 48 priced games

Home Teams Cover %

48%

-1.0pp

league 49% · home-vs-road tilt

Penalties & Pace

How the crew calls + paces the game

Average penalty and pace signals: no tendency stands out.

Penalties / Game

12.2

-0.4

league 12.6 · both teams combined

Plays / Game

118.7

-2.9

league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts

Penalty Yards / Game

100

-6.0

league 106

Penalties: home vs road

Home
5.8
Road
6.3

Flags split roughly evenly between home and road.

Recent Games Worked

FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH

Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.