Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 5:33·SEA 3, CAR 0

   (5:33) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold to SEA 40 for -6 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at SEA 39. 14-S.Darnold sacked at SEA 39 for -7 yards (11-N.Scourton). FUMBLES (11-N.Scourton), touched at SEA 41, RECOVERED by CAR-94-A.Robinson at SEA 40. 94-A.Robinson to SEA 37 for 3 yards (14-S.Darnold). FUMBLES (14-S.Darnold), recovered by CAR-56-C.Rozeboom at SEA 26. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +18pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q3 · 12:06·SEA 3, CAR 3

   (12:06) 74-J.Curhan reported in as eligible. 30-C.Hubbard up the middle to CAR 22 for 2 yards (0-D.Lawrence; 13-E.Jones). FUMBLES (0-D.Lawrence), RECOVERED by SEA-0-D.Lawrence at CAR 21. 0-D.Lawrence for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 74-J.Curhan reported in as eligible. 30-C.Hubbard up the middle to CAR 22 for 2 yards (0-D.Lawrence; 13-E.Jones). FUMBLES (0-D.Lawrence), RECOVERED by SEA-0-D.Lawrence at CAR 21. 0-D.Lawrence to CAR 21 for no gain (72-T.Moton).

   +16pp

   SEA
3. 3
   Q3 · 12:12·SEA 3, CAR 3

   (12:12) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep left intended for 11-J.Smith-Njigba INTERCEPTED by 2-M.Jackson at CAR -8. Touchback.

   +14pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q3 · 7:54·SEA 10, CAR 3

   (7:54) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right intended for 4-T.McMillan INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Love at SEA 45. 20-J.Love to CAR 29 for 26 yards (4-T.McMillan).

   +12pp

   SEA
5. 5
   Q1 · 7:07·SEA 0, CAR 0

   (7:07) (Shotgun) 26-Z.Charbonnet left end to 50 for 25 yards (26-C.Smith-Wade).

   +11pp

   SEA