Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 7:05·CAR 3, SEA 0

   (7:05) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep left intended for 16-T.Lockett INTERCEPTED by 8-J.Horn at SEA 44. 8-J.Horn to SEA 13 for 31 yards (16-T.Lockett).

   +16pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q3 · 0:40·CAR 20, SEA 17

   (:40) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short middle to 82-T.Tremble (6-Q.Diggs) [10-U.Nwosu].

   +14pp

   SEA
3. 3
   Q2 · 6:26·CAR 17, SEA 7

   (6:26) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep left intended for 14-D.Metcalf INTERCEPTED by 24-C.Henderson at CAR 41. 24-C.Henderson ran ob at SEA 39 for 20 yards (72-A.Lucas; 25-T.Homer).

   +10pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q3 · 6:30·CAR 20, SEA 17

   (6:30) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 88-T.Marshall to 50 for 18 yards (26-R.Neal). Seattle challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)

   +8pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q4 · 13:09·CAR 20, SEA 17

   (13:09) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith sacked at SEA 37 for -6 yards (sack split by 7-S.Thompson and 53-B.Burns).

   +7pp

   CAR