Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 7:00·HOU 16, KC 10

   (7:00) (Shotgun) 33-D.Ogunbowale up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q3 · 9:59·HOU 10, KC 6

   (9:59) (Shotgun) 29-K.Hunt right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q1 · 6:45·HOU 0, KC 0

   (6:45) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 7-C.Stroud pass deep left to 12-N.Collins to KC 21 for 46 yards (22-T.McDuffie). KC-22-T.McDuffie was injured during the play.

   +11pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q4 · 13:35·HOU 10, KC 10

   (13:35) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep left to 81-J.Higgins to HOU 26 for 17 yards (27-C.Conner).

   +10pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q4 · 10:22·HOU 10, KC 10

   (10:22) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short middle to 4-R.Rice (24-D.Stingley) [51-W.Anderson].

   +8pp

   HOU