Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 0:32·HOU 16, KC 17

   (:32) 15-P.Mahomes sacked at KC 13 for -7 yards (94-C.Omenihu). FUMBLES (94-C.Omenihu) [94-C.Omenihu], RECOVERED by HOU-55-B.McKinney at KC 3. 55-B.McKinney to KC 3 for no gain (74-M.Rankin).

   +24pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q3 · 0:09·HOU 23, KC 24

   (:09) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left intended for 10-D.Hopkins INTERCEPTED by 35-C.Ward at KC -2. Touchback.

   +19pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q1 · 11:53·HOU 0, KC 6

   (11:53) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 10-T.Hill for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on HOU-59-W.Mercilus, Defensive Offside, declined.

   +19pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q1 · 14:10·HOU 0, KC 0

   (14:10) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 31-D.Williams pushed ob at HOU 35 for 52 yards (20-J.Reid). Houston challenged the play for possible offensive pass interference, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)

   +13pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q4 · 7:41·HOU 23, KC 24

   (7:41) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 87-D.Fells to KC 1 for 18 yards (56-B.Niemann; 21-B.Breeland).

   +13pp

   HOU