Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 14:17·HOU 7, KC 6

   (14:17) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q1 · 11:03·HOU 0, KC 0

   (11:03) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes sacked at HOU 44 for -8 yards (54-J.Martin).

   +8pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q1 · 6:19·HOU 0, KC 0

   (6:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 13-B.Cooks to KC 28 for 11 yards (49-D.Sorensen).

   +6pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q1 · 11:47·HOU 0, KC 0

   (11:47) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to HOU 36 for 11 yards (21-B.Roby).

   +5pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q1 · 3:00·HOU 7, KC 0

   (3:00) 42-A.Sherman left guard to KC 36 for 2 yards (99-J.Watt).

   +5pp

   KAN