Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 3:51·BUF 3, CAR 0

   (3:51) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton scrambles right end to BUF 20 for 1 yard (50-G.Rousseau). FUMBLES (50-G.Rousseau), RECOVERED by BUF-47-C.Benford at BUF 11. 47-C.Benford to BUF 17 for 6 yards (70-B.Christensen; 14-A.Dalton).

   +15pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 1:58·BUF 12, CAR 3

   (1:58) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short left intended for 18-J.Coker INTERCEPTED by 57-A.Epenesa at CAR 25. 57-A.Epenesa to CAR 1 for 24 yards (30-C.Hubbard).

   +12pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q2 · 7:35·BUF 12, CAR 3

   (7:35) 4-J.Cook left guard for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q1 · 5:10·BUF 3, CAR 0

   (5:10) (Shotgun) 5-R.Dowdle up the middle to BUF 20 for 24 yards (37-J.Hancock).

   +9pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q1 · 2:13·BUF 3, CAR 0

   (2:13) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 86-D.Kincaid to CAR 30 for 23 yards (7-T.Moehrig).

   +9pp

   BUF