Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:01·CAR 23, BUF 24

   (:01) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 24 for -16 yards (50-K.Alonso).

   +35pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:06·CAR 23, BUF 23

   (:06) (Shotgun) 3-E.Manuel pass short left to 13-S.Johnson for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 8 yds. into end zone.

   +31pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q3 · 1:14·CAR 14, BUF 14

   (1:14) (No Huddle) 3-E.Manuel sacked at BUF 16 for -9 yards (27-Q.Mikell). FUMBLES (27-Q.Mikell), RECOVERED by CAR-92-D.Edwards at BUF 16. 92-D.Edwards to BUF 16 for no gain (84-S.Chandler).

   +19pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q4 · 12:19·CAR 17, BUF 14

   (12:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-E.Manuel pass short middle intended for 11-T.Graham INTERCEPTED by 59-L.Kuechly at BUF 26. 59-L.Kuechly to BUF 26 for no gain (11-T.Graham). The Replay Assistant challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +15pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q3 · 6:59·CAR 13, BUF 6

   (6:59) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 19-T.Ginn for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 7 yds. into end zone.

   +14pp

   CAR