Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 2:49·SF 19, TB 26

   (2:49) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep middle to 15-T.Johnson for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q2 · 15:00·SF 3, TB 7

   (15:00) 10-M.Jones pass deep middle to 84-K.Bourne to TB 33 for 56 yards (25-J.Parrish).

   +15pp

   SFO
3. 3
   Q1 · 10:46·SF 0, TB 0

   (10:46) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right intended for 84-K.Bourne INTERCEPTED by 22-K.Vildor at SF 25. 22-K.Vildor to SF 12 for 13 yards (77-D.Puni).

   +14pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:50·SF 13, TB 20

   (:50) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 19-K.Johnson for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on SF-20-U.Stout, Roughing the Passer, 1 yard, enforced between downs.

   +10pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q2 · 3:38·SF 10, TB 14

   (3:38) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass deep left to 83-M.Valdes-Scantling to TB 40 for 19 yards (31-A.Winfield).

   +9pp

   SFO