Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 8:42·SEA 9, JAX 6

   (8:42) 14-S.Darnold pass deep middle to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   SEA
2. 2
   Q2 · 1:08·SEA 10, JAX 6

   (1:08) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence sacked at SEA 32 for -9 yards (0-D.Lawrence).

   +11pp

   SEA
3. 3
   Q1 · 2:38·SEA 0, JAX 0

   (2:38) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 7-B.Thomas to SEA 35 for 19 yards (8-C.Bryant).

   +11pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q2 · 3:31·SEA 10, JAX 6

   (3:31) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 11-P.Washington pushed ob at JAX 45 for 17 yards (39-T.Okada). PENALTY on SEA-0-D.Lawrence, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at JAX 45.

   +9pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q2 · 2:00·SEA 10, JAX 6

   (2:00) 5-D.Brown right end pushed ob at SEA 24 for 7 yards (24-S.Griffin).

   +9pp

   JAX