Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 10:13·JAX 0, SEA 0

   (10:13) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence sacked at SEA 49 for -11 yards (26-R.Neal).

   +10pp

   SEA
2. 2
   Q1 · 11:36·JAX 0, SEA 0

   (11:36) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 85-D.Arnold to SEA 39 for 7 yards (22-T.Brown).

   +7pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q1 · 4:22·JAX 0, SEA 6

   (4:22) 7-G.Smith up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

   +6pp

   SEA
4. 4
   Q2 · 13:40·JAX 0, SEA 7

   (13:40) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left intended for 7-T.Austin INTERCEPTED by 6-Q.Diggs at SEA 18. 6-Q.Diggs pushed ob at SEA 27 for 9 yards (10-L.Shenault).

   +6pp

   SEA
5. 5
   Q1 · 8:08·JAX 0, SEA 0

   (8:08) 41-A.Collins right guard to JAX 35 for 9 yards (32-T.Campbell; 2-R.Jenkins).

   +5pp

   SEA