Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 12:04·HOU 7, BAL 3

   (12:04) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud sacked at BAL 32 for -8 yards (53-K.Van Noy).

   +9pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q1 · 4:18·HOU 7, BAL 0

   (4:18) (Shotgun) 15-C.Rush pass short middle to 10-D.Hopkins to HOU 16 for 29 yards (4-K.Lassiter) [45-E.Speed]. Penalty on HOU-4-K.Lassiter, Defensive Holding, declined.

   +8pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q1 · 14:12·HOU 0, BAL 0

   (14:12) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 12-N.Collins to BAL 40 for 24 yards (24-M.Starks; 27-T.Tampa).

   +7pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q2 · 8:01·HOU 10, BAL 3

   (8:01) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud scrambles right guard pushed ob at BAL 4 for 30 yards (40-T.Buchanan).

   +7pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q2 · 11:23·HOU 10, BAL 3

   (11:23) 15-K.Fairbairn 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-6-T.Townsend.

   +6pp

   HOU