Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 10:58·NO 0, BUF 6

   (10:58) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 10-K.Shakir for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 12:56·NO 16, BUF 21

   (12:56) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 10-K.Shakir to 50 for -1 yards (96-C.Granderson).

   +10pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q2 · 1:31·NO 10, BUF 14

   (1:31) (Shotgun) 12-C.Olave pass short right intended for 2-S.Rattler INTERCEPTED by 24-C.Bishop at BUF 1. 24-C.Bishop pushed ob at BUF 14 for 13 yards (75-T.Fuaga). PENALTY on BUF-42-D.Williams, Illegal Blindside Block, 2 yards, enforced at BUF 5.

   +9pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q3 · 9:33·NO 10, BUF 14

   (9:33) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 10-K.Shakir to NO 36 for 17 yards (1-A.Taylor).

   +9pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q4 · 9:01·NO 16, BUF 21

   (9:01) (Shotgun) 2-S.Rattler pass deep middle to 10-B.Cooks for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 2-S.Rattler pass incomplete deep middle to 10-B.Cooks.

   +8pp

   BUF