Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 1:42·NO 7, BUF 3

   (1:42) 9-D.Brees pass short right to 89-J.Hill to BUF 11 for -2 yards (50-R.Humber). FUMBLES (50-R.Humber), touched at BUF 11, RECOVERED by BUF-95-K.Williams at BUF 9. 95-K.Williams to BUF 9 for no gain (13-M.Thomas). Ball deflected by S.Lawson before recovery.

   +12pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q1 · 7:46·NO 0, BUF 3

   (7:46) 22-M.Ingram up the middle to BUF 5 for 25 yards (21-J.Poyer).

   +11pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q1 · 13:43·NO 0, BUF 0

   (13:43) 25-L.McCoy left end to NO 30 for 36 yards (25-R.Bush).

   +8pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 11:58·NO 7, BUF 3

   (11:58) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 16-B.Coleman to BUF 21 for 30 yards (20-S.Wright). BUF-20-S.Wright was injured during the play. His return is Probable. Caught at BUF 40, crossing to left.

   +7pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q1 · 9:53·NO 0, BUF 3

   (9:53) 22-M.Ingram up the middle to BUF 39 for 14 yards (23-M.Hyde).

   +6pp

   NOR