Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:42·SF 17, SEA 13

   (:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold sacked at SF 16 for -7 yards (97-N.Bosa). FUMBLES (97-N.Bosa), touched at SF 13, RECOVERED by SF-97-N.Bosa at SF 16. PENALTY on SF-2-D.Lenoir, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 8 yards, enforced at SF 16.

   +54pp

   SFO
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:13·SF 17, SEA 13

   (1:13) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba pushed ob at SF 14 for 40 yards (0-R.Green).

   +30pp

   SEA
3. 3
   Q4 · 2:38·SF 10, SEA 13

   (2:38) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass deep left to 1-R.Pearsall ran ob at SEA 22 for 45 yards (8-C.Bryant).

   +25pp

   SFO
4. 4
   Q3 · 2:21·SF 7, SEA 10

   (2:21) 4-J.Moody 36 yard field goal is BLOCKED (20-J.Love), Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-7-T.Morstead, RECOVERED by SEA-0-D.Lawrence at SEA 23. 0-D.Lawrence to SEA 31 for 8 yards (68-C.McKivitz).

   +19pp

   SEA
5. 5
   Q3 · 12:17·SF 7, SEA 10

   (12:17) 13-B.Purdy pass deep middle intended for 15-J.Jennings INTERCEPTED by 13-E.Jones [58-D.Hall] at SEA 22. 13-E.Jones to SEA 29 for 7 yards (23-C.McCaffrey; 44-K.Juszczyk).

   +15pp

   SEA