Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:02·KC 30, CAR 27

   (:02) 40-S.Shrader 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.

   +20pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:48·KC 27, CAR 27

   (:48) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles left end pushed ob at CAR 22 for 33 yards (20-J.Fuller). The Replay Official reviewed the runner was out of bounds ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles left end to CAR 22 for 33 yards (20-J.Fuller). FUMBLES (20-J.Fuller), ball out of bounds at CAR 22.

   +16pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:46·KC 27, CAR 27

   TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 30-C.Hubbard rushes up the middle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

   +16pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q1 · 13:44·KC 6, CAR 0

   (13:44) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 83-N.Gray for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q4 · 1:55·KC 27, CAR 19

   (1:55) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass incomplete deep right to 19-A.Thielen (27-C.Conner). PENALTY on KC-27-C.Conner, Defensive Pass Interference, 28 yards, enforced at KC 29 - No Play.

   +9pp

   CAR